Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.7%
Bari
26.4%
Draw
59.9%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Bari
vs
1.64
Genoa
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).