Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Dunfermline
27.6%
Draw
11.9%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Dunfermline
vs
0.51
Alloa
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.559.5%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.7%
2-0
15.0%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
7.6%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-0
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).