Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Coventry
21.7%
Draw
15.5%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Coventry
vs
0.96
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).