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DHT: 01CSV

08 Sept 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.1%
Le Havre
34.4%
Draw
21.6%
Orleans

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Le Havre

vs
0.54

Orleans

Markets

BTTS24.2%
Over 0.577.7%
Over 1.542.0%
Over 2.518.2%
Over 3.56.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
22.3%
0-0
22.3%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
5.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
3-1
1.6%
2-2
1.4%
4-0
0.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).