Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.4%
Ath Madrid
16.9%
Draw
8.6%
Levante
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Ath Madrid
vs
0.64
Levante
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
12.1%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
5-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).