Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Crawley Town
20.2%
Draw
48.3%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Crawley Town
vs
2.14
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS72.1%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.574.0%
Over 3.553.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-3
5.1%
0-2
4.9%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
4.1%
1-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).