Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.6%
Venezia
14.6%
Draw
5.8%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Venezia
vs
0.60
Bari
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
3-0
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
5-0
4.1%
2-2
2.5%
5-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).