Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Nurnberg
26.8%
Draw
34.1%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Nurnberg
vs
1.41
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.4%
0-1
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).