Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Saint-Étienne
15.3%
Draw
67.0%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Saint-Étienne
vs
3.04
Marseille
Markets
BTTS75.5%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.594.3%
Over 2.583.9%
Over 3.567.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
1-4
5.5%
1-1
4.6%
0-3
4.6%
0-2
4.5%
2-4
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).