Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Como
28.8%
Draw
31.3%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Como
vs
1.00
Milan
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).