Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.9%
Oldham
31.6%
Draw
41.5%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Oldham
vs
1.03
Northampton
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.526.6%
Over 3.510.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.7%
0-0
16.2%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).