Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Ternana
28.2%
Draw
25.3%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Ternana
vs
1.06
Cesena
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).