Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Southampton
28.4%
Draw
25.5%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Southampton
vs
1.03
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).