Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Cardiff
26.6%
Draw
44.5%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Cardiff
vs
1.57
Hull
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).