Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.0%
Harrogate
33.6%
Draw
17.4%
Braintree Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Harrogate
vs
0.57
Braintree Town
Markets
BTTS30.9%
Over 0.581.2%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.5%
0-0
18.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.8%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-0
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).