Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.9%
Cheltenham
21.9%
Draw
58.2%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Cheltenham
vs
1.72
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
0-2
11.0%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
6.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).