Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Crawley Town
25.6%
Draw
49.2%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Crawley Town
vs
1.45
Crewe
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).