Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Cesena
27.3%
Draw
49.0%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Cesena
vs
1.60
Palermo
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).