Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Tenerife
32.3%
Draw
27.2%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Tenerife
vs
0.78
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.553.5%
Over 2.526.8%
Over 3.510.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
0-0
16.5%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).