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DHT: 12CSV

01 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.9%
Chateauroux
27.0%
Draw
42.1%
Grenoble

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Chateauroux

vs
1.19

Grenoble

Markets

BTTS42.1%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.8%
1-0
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).