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10 Apr 2021 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.7%
Apollon
25.1%
Draw
60.2%
OFI Crete

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Apollon

vs
1.75

OFI Crete

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).