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30 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.9%
Dumbarton
27.8%
Draw
55.3%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Dumbarton

vs
1.71

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
0-2
11.1%
0-1
11.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
9.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).