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DHT: 10CSV

29 Apr 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.5%
Oldham
32.3%
Draw
35.1%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Oldham

vs
1.07

Bromley

Markets

BTTS43.0%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
0-3
2.5%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).