Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Oxford
22.6%
Draw
40.3%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Oxford
vs
1.52
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).