Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Girona
25.2%
Draw
18.5%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Girona
vs
0.84
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).