Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.0%
Chesterfield
21.2%
Draw
19.8%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Chesterfield
vs
1.00
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).