Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Cardiff
17.3%
Draw
17.0%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Cardiff
vs
1.08
Reading
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.5%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
4.3%
4-0
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).