Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Castellon
20.2%
Draw
30.1%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Castellon
vs
1.70
Almeria
Markets
BTTS72.7%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.8%
Over 3.554.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
4.0%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).