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14 Dec 2024 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.3%
Cadiz
28.0%
Draw
31.6%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Cadiz

vs
1.06

Albacete

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).