Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.9%
Sunderland
19.1%
Draw
17.0%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Sunderland
vs
0.91
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
0-1
5.7%
0-0
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).