Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.8%
Heidenheim
13.8%
Draw
6.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
2.81
Heidenheim
vs
0.73
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.547.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.5%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
4-0
7.6%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-0
4.3%
0-0
3.5%
5-1
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).