Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Oldham
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Oldham
vs
0.89
Sutton
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).