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26 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.5%
Willenhall Town
15.5%
Draw
21.0%
Corinthian

Expected Goals (xG)

3.17

Willenhall Town

vs
1.88

Corinthian

Markets

BTTS81.1%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.596.0%
Over 2.587.9%
Over 3.574.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
4-1
5.1%
4-2
4.8%
3-3
3.8%
1-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
2-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).