Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.1%
Napoli
18.2%
Draw
10.7%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Napoli
vs
0.67
Empoli
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
13.1%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.0%
4-0
5.1%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).