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12 Jan 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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81.0%
AEK
14.3%
Draw
4.6%
Athens Kallithea

Expected Goals (xG)

2.51

AEK

vs
0.48

Athens Kallithea

Markets

BTTS35.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.9%
3-0
13.3%
1-0
12.1%
4-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-1
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
5-0
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
5-1
2.0%
0-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).