Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Alaves
29.6%
Draw
28.3%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Alaves
vs
0.97
Espanol
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).