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16 Feb 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.5%
Gent
21.2%
Draw
21.2%
K. Beerschot V.A.

Expected Goals (xG)

2.14

Gent

vs
1.24

K. Beerschot V.A.

Markets

BTTS63.1%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
4-1
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).