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AHT: 02CSV

17 Oct 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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2.4%
Stranraer
25.2%
Draw
72.4%
Dunfermline

Expected Goals (xG)

0.11

Stranraer

vs
1.43

Dunfermline

Markets

BTTS7.8%
Over 0.578.3%
Over 1.545.7%
Over 2.520.1%
Over 3.57.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
30.5%
0-2
22.1%
0-0
21.7%
0-3
10.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
1-0
2.0%
1-3
1.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-1
0.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).