Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.9%
Maidstone
25.6%
Draw
41.6%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Maidstone
vs
1.65
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).