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18 Aug 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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9.8%
Montpellier
16.6%
Draw
73.6%
Strasbourg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.64

Montpellier

vs
2.19

Strasbourg

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
14.2%
0-1
13.4%
0-3
10.4%
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
6.6%
0-4
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
2-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).