Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Dender
24.7%
Draw
50.1%
Charleroi
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Dender
vs
1.72
Charleroi
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).