Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Cambridge
27.4%
Draw
19.9%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Cambridge
vs
0.70
Accrington
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.9%
0-0
12.5%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).