Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Frosinone
23.5%
Draw
15.3%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Frosinone
vs
0.87
Spal
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
0-1
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).