Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Cagliari
25.6%
Draw
38.2%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Cagliari
vs
1.35
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).