Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Morton
26.1%
Draw
20.3%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Morton
vs
1.08
Alloa
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).