⚽ FootballData
3 – 2
HHT: 02CSV

25 Aug 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
34.8%
Antalyaspor
30.9%
Draw
34.3%
Hatayspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Antalyaspor

vs
1.42

Hatayspor

Markets

BTTS60.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).