Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Villarreal
27.0%
Draw
16.8%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Villarreal
vs
0.69
Getafe
Markets
BTTS39.1%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).