Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.2%
Stoke
28.1%
Draw
18.6%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Stoke
vs
0.79
Reading
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).