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HHT: 10CSV

29 Sept 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.0%
Fylde
32.4%
Draw
27.6%
Braintree Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Fylde

vs
0.90

Braintree Town

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.515.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.2%
1-0
13.7%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).