Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Pisa
27.6%
Draw
27.1%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Pisa
vs
1.15
Como
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).